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WILL THE EUROZONE CRACK?

by Simon Tilford

September 2006

 


Europeans often refer to Economic and Monetary Union and enlargement as the EU's two greatest successes. However, the basis for a sustainable currency union is not in place. Unless the members rapidly boost their reform efforts, and unless economic growth across the eurozone accelerates, EMU faces a bleak future. What happens in Italy will be critical. If Italy fails to improve its competitiveness, it will eventually have to leave the eurozone. This could force other countries to quit the currency union and potentially threaten the EU's single market.

Simon Tilford
is head of the business unit at the Centre for European Reform.

REVIEWS AND RELATED ARTICLES


Slow reform could bust up eurozone
article and review of 'Will the eurozone crack?',
Business Week, 19 September 2006

Why break-up of faltering euro could be the way ahead
article and review of 'Will the eurozone crack?',
The Telegraph, 18 September 2006







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