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Willing and able? EU defence in 2020
essay by Daniel Keohane and Tomas Valasek, June 2008

Demand for military forces is growing. And the Europeans increasingly turn to the EU when in need of troops for peacekeeping or for delivering humanitarian aid. But will the EU be able to keep up with the demand? Daniel Keohane and Tomas Valasek argue that it is possible, but only if the EU governments reform and pool their militaries, and if the EU and NATO co-ordinate their work more effectively. They also warn the Europeans to stop assuming that the EU will never fight a shooting war, and call on the EU to start a debate on when to use hard military force.

press release

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Growing old gracefully:
How to ease population ageing in Europe
essay by Alasdair Murray, January 2008

Europe stands on the cusp of a demographic revolution. Rising life expectancy and low fertility are radically transforming Europe’s demographic profile. Ageing populations pose profound political, economic and social challenges for Europe. Many commentators are deeply pessimistic about the consequences of population ageing for the social and economic fabric of Europe. But Alasdair Murray’s essay takes a more optimistic view. He argues that although pro-natal policies or increased immigration cannot be relied on to reverse Europe’s long-term population trends, demography is not destiny.

press release

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Preparing for the multipolar world: European foreign and security policy in 2020
by Charles Grant with Tomas Valasek,
December 2007

The world is becoming increasingly multipolar. Will that mean democratic poles lining up against autocracies, in two competing camps? Or will all the leading powers support multilateral institutions? The authors argue that a strong and successful EU can help to ensure that multilateralism prevails over balance-of-power politics. They set out a plan for a stronger European defence policy. And they outline EU strategies for the Middle East, Russia and China.

press release

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Turkey's role in European energy security
by Katinka Barysch, December 2007

Turkey – located between big energy producers and the EU market – is crucial for Europe’s energy security. However, plans for the Nabucco pipeline as an alternative to Russian gas supplies are in trouble. The fact that the EU and Turkey are negotiating about accession seems to hinder rather than help their co-operation in energy. In this new CER essay, Katinka Barysch suggests a way forward.

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The US elections and Europe:
The coming crisis of high expectations
by Kori Schake, November 2007

The election of a new US president in 2008 offers an opportunity to repair US-European relations. But, as Kori Schake argues in this essay, both sides must guard against high expectations. Europe will expect a post-Bush US to take a multilateral approach to foreign policy. However, the US is likely to continue acting as an exceptional power, sometimes unbound by international law. Similarly, the new US administration may expect the EU to make a bigger contribution to sorting out the world’s trouble spots. But it will be disappointed: most Europeans believe that the Iraq war has vindicated their soft-power approach and they are not going to spend more on defence.

press release

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What Europeans think about Turkey
and why
by Katinka Barysch, September 2007

Surveys show that a majority of EU citizens are against Turkish membership. This matters since France, Austria and probably other countries too will hold a referendum on Turkish accession. But it would be wrong to descend into gloom. A more detailed analysis of public opinion on Turkey shows big national differences. And it suggests that many voters are prepared to change their minds on Turkey.

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EU business and Turkish accession
by Katinka Barysch and Rainer Hermann,
June 2007

Many EU politicians and their voters are unsure about the merits of Turkish accession. Europe’s entrepreneurs are not. They are showing confidence by investing billions into the fast-growing Turkish economy, partly because they expect that EU accession will continue to change the country for the better. But although accession would guarantee further improvements in the Turkish business environment, few EU business leaders support it openly. This new CER eaasy asks why.


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Britain and Europe:
A City minister's perspective
by Ed Balls MP, May 2007

Britain's membership of the EU strengthens London as a global financial centre, argues City Minister, Ed Balls. The UK should engage actively with the EU, to ensure that its financial regulation is proportionate, flexible, and implemented effectively. Similar principles should apply to European action in other areas, such as the single market, climate change and the EU budget. Ed Balls argues for a 'hard-headed pro-Europeanism'. This means recognising that Britain is stronger by co-operating with partners in the EU to meet shared challenges, but having the confidence to stand firm where UK national interests would be damaged, and argue the case where Europe risks taking