In the Press - Brexit briefing: A critical test for Corbyn's Brexit strategy

20 February 2017
Financial Times
Not just hard, but difficult, Theresa May will trigger Article 50 and begin talks on leaving the EU in a few weeks. With many of the details still uncertain, Charles Grant analyses the options still open to the UK as it forges a new relationship with the EU.

In the Press - Brussels focuses on UK's €60bn exit bill before trade talks

20 February 2017
Financial Times
Given the EU-27 want to leave this to the last stage of talks, Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, argues the timing for transition talks will be “particularly contentious”. “The UK will want interim arrangements to be fixed as soon as possible in the separation talks, to dissuade footloose companies from quitting the UK,” he wrote in a CER paper released on Monday.

In the Press - Bad-tempered Brexit talks loom as May’s demands irk Europe

Bad-tempered Brexit talks loom as May’s demands irk Europe
10 February 2017
Bloomberg
“The British may over-estimate the strength of the cards they hold,” Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, said in a note. “That means that May and her ministers should conduct the talks in a sober, courteous and modest manner.”

In the Press - Draghi meets Merkel as populist concerns trump ECB criticism

Draghi meets Merkel as populist concerns trump ECB criticism
09 February 2017
Bloomberg
“A period of above-target inflation is exactly what the doctor ordered,” said Christian Odendahl, chief economist of the London-based Centre for European Reform, pointing to the currency bloc’s output gap. “If anyone can convince her to support such a course of action, it’s Draghi.”

In the Press - The multi-billion-euro exit charge that could sink Brexit talks

Alex Barker
09 February 2017
The Economist
In a new report for the CER, Alex Barker of the Financial Times, puts the figure at anything between €24.5bn ($26.1bn) and €72.8bn. The bill comprises three main elements. Mr Barker reckons Britain’s share could amount to €17.4bn. The government will struggle to explain why voters should be on the hook for payments made after Brexit. But the European Commission will argue that Britain’s approval of the current budget, which runs until 2020, obliges it to cough up.

In the Press - Theresa May outfoxes pro-EU opponents on Brexit vote

08 February 2017
Financial Times
Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform, says Sir Keir has “half a point” and that if the vote was held early enough Mrs May might come under pressure from business and the City to go back and try again.

In the Press - The May Doctrine

08 February 2017
The New Statesman
Charles Grant, the director of the Centre for European Reform, believes that rather than choosing a “hard” – the Prime Minister prefers “clean” – Brexit, May should have tilted more towards those who voted Remain. She should have pursued what he calls “an economically optimal deal, something like Norway but a bit different, where we would more or less have been in the single market with a little bit of restriction on free movement”.

In the Press - Five Brexit challenges as Britain leaps into the unknown

Alex Barker
08 February 2017
Financial Times
But the commission calculates that Britain owes €60bn. As a paper for the Centre for European Reform notes, this is “a far cry from the £350m-a-week bounty promised by Brexit campaigners during the referendum campaign”. This demand could prove to be the decisive stumbling block.