Press

Fear of Russia brings new purpose and unity to NATO, once again

14 January 2022
The New York Times
“NATO is its member states, and it’s what allies make of it,” said Sophia Besch, a defense analyst in Berlin for the Centre for European Reform. “It’s not out of business because we didn’t let it, and we’ve changed its raison d’être to what are the major strategic concerns of the day.”

Commerci, Borsa, Irlanda del Nord: tutti i nodi dopo un anno di Brexit

10 January 2022
La Repubblica
Secondo il think-tank Centre for European Reform citato dall'Economist, l'import e l'export britannico si sono ristretti complessivamente dell'11-16% dall'inizio del 2021. 

EU hopes to emerge stronger than ever after ‘undesirable’ Brexit as it battles Russia, Covid and the far-right

09 January 2022
iNews
“If Le Pen or – God help us, Zemmour – wins, then the EU is plunged into crisis. That is the nightmare scenario,” says John Springford, the deputy director of the Centre for European Reform (CER) in London.
...“If Orbán wins again, then he will be emboldened to continuing suppressing dissent,” Mr Springford says. “If he loses, champagne corks will pop in Brussels, as it shows pro-European forces can win – although it will not mean that populism is gone.”

UK tipped to rejoin EU project as Truss 'softens' Frost's tough Brexit stance

07 January 2022
Express
If Ms Truss is able to strike a deal, this would finally put an end to the delay in Britain’s involvement in the project. It might now be more likely than when Lord Frost was in charge, according to Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform think-tank. He said: “With David Frost’s departure, there’s at least a chance of a bit of a reset in the EU-UK relationship because people in Brussels reckoned so long as he was there they couldn’t have a much better relationship.”

Brexit hysteria grips Germany as newspaper gloats 'English Channel is wider and UK poorer'

05 January 2022
Express
The Centre for European Reform deputy director John Springford has compared the British economy with a fictional doppelganger in which the UK voted against Brexit in 2016. In the years between the referendum and the exit from the European Union, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the real country was three percent lower than that of the doppelganger.

La UE se blinda ante crisis migratorias orquestadas por terceros países

03 January 2022
El Pais
La estratagema del régimen de Lukashenko, en opinión de Camino Mortera-Martínez, analista del Centro para la Reforma Europea, “ha fracasado principalmente por la falta de apoyo de Rusia, pero si lo que se quiere en Europa son estas medidas de la Comisión y también las excepciones a las reglas de inmigración y asilo, se puede decir que ha tenido un cierto resultado”.

How a year outside the EU’s legal and trading arrangements has changed Britain

01 January 2022
The Economist
According to John Springford of the Centre for European Reform, a think-tank, Britain’s total combined imports and exports have been depressed by 11-16% relative to its peers since the beginning of 2021. Imports have been hit hardest—surprisingly, because Britain postponed customs checks until January 2022, whereas the EU did not.

Brexit : un an après, le lent effritement de l’économie britannique

31 December 2021
Le Monde
 Pour contourner la difficulté, John Springford, du groupe de réflexion Centre for European Reform, a comparé l’évolution du commerce d’un groupe de 22 pays avec celle du Royaume-Uni. Jusqu’à fin 2020, elles étaient corrélées. Mais depuis le 1er janvier 2021, l’écart se creuse : le commerce britannique a perdu entre 11 % et 16 % par rapport à l’échantillon comparatif.

The never-ending Brexit the true and mounting costs of leaving the EU

30 December 2021
Foreign Affairs
According to a study conducted by John Springford, an economics researcher at the Centre for European Reform, British goods trade in September 2021 was 11.2 percent, or 8.5 billion pounds, lower than it would have been had the United Kingdom stayed in the EU’s single market and customs union.

What a year of Brexit brought UK companies: Higher costs and endless forms

29 December 2021
The New York Times
Goods trade with Europe was nearly 16 percent below what it would have been in a world without Brexit, according to the latest report by the Centre for European Reform.

Die nicht endenden Brexit-Probleme der Briten

28 December 2021
Der Tagesspiegel
Die Denkfabrik Centre for European Reform hat errechnet, dass der britische Warenhandel im Oktober 2021 um 15,7 Prozent oder 12,6 Milliarden Pfund (knapp 15 Mrd Euro) niedriger war als er im Falle eines britischen Verbleibs im EU-Binnenmarkt und in der Zollunion gewesen wäre.
 

Johnson’s pig-headed reign approaches its tragicomic climax

26 December 2021
The Guardian
We owe it to that great student of all things European, my old friend Charles Grant, to discover that all is not what it seems with the Rt Hon Truss. Grant has known her a long time. In an article for the Centre for European Reform think-tank, of which he is director, he reveals that, before converting to the Remain cause for Cameron’s referendum, Truss was a Eurosceptic. 

Why no one should underestimate Liz Truss

26 December 2021
The Evening Standard
“As someone who doesn’t hide her ambition to be the next Conservative leader, she will want to appear tough in dealing with the EU, in order to secure the support of the party’s right,” wrote Charles Grant, Director at the Centre for European Reform think-tank.

One year on, it’s clear that Brexit has failed on its advocates’ own terms

25 December 2021
The Independent
Now that the Brexit deal has been in force for a year, it’s worth looking at initial claims from the politicians who forced through an exit from the EU’s single market.

Brexit one year on: So how's it going?

25 December 2021
The Guardian
Asked how Brexit has gone so far, Charles Grant, director of the think-tank the Centre for European Reform, says that, ironically, the most obvious post-Brexit negotiating successes for the Johnson government have been in areas where it has managed to stay close to the EU, not move away – such as the “rolling over” of EU trade deals.

Brexit one year on: How has Britain fared outside the EU?

24 December 2021
The Times
The Centre for European Reform has attempted to isolate the impact of Brexit by looking at Covid-affected trade flows in other countries and then comparing them with those seen by Britain.That analysis concluded that, since the transition period ended, leaving the single market and customs union had reduced UK goods trade with the EU by 15.8 per cent as of August 2021.

Brexit one year on: The impact on the UK economy

23 December 2021
The Financial Times
John Springford, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform think-tank, estimated the likely UK trade performance based on a model, “doppelgänger UK”, derived from the performance of similar countries.

CER end of year podcast: Review of 2021

22 December 2021
As 2021 draws to a close, the CER researchers reflect on the events of the past year.

Just a year of Brexit has thumped UK's economy and businesses

22 December 2021
Bloomberg
As of October, UK goods trade with the EU was 15.7% lower than it would have been had Britain stayed in the EU’s single market and customs union, according to modeling by the Centre for European Reform, an independent think-tank. That tallies with a UK government analysis of 2018, which predicted a 10% decline in trade.

Brexit: The economic impact a year on

21 December 2021
BBC News
Economic modellers at the Centre for European Reform ... compare the UK as it is with a doppelgänger UK, following the attributes of EU economies that were most similar before Brexit and before Covid.
Isolating the Brexit effect suggests a drop of 11 to 16% in the amount of UK trade, which in October came to 15.7% on imports and exports, worth £12.6bn.

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