Press

The long, winding road to Trump's 'phenomenal' UK trade deal

Sam Lowe
04 June 2019
Bloomberg
“All of the issues that previously emerged during the TTIP negotiations will reappear,” said Sam Lowe, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, a think-tank in London. “Talk of chlorine chicken and takeovers of the NHS, however accurate or not, already have public salience,” he said, referring to the UK’s National Health Service.

Germany's resurgent Greens set the agenda as SPD flounders

Christian Odendahl
03 June 2019
The Guardian
“It’s significant that an established centrist party is at last prepared to open up the discussion whether the debt brake still makes sense,” said Christian Odendahl, the chief economist at the Centre for European Reform think-tank. “That party should really have been the Social Democrats, but they were too cautious about offending fiscal conservatives among their electorate.”

The maths of a trade deal with Trump do not add up

Sam Lowe
03 June 2019
The Telegraph
Indeed, as Sam Lowe, at the Centre for European Reform points out, the UK White Paper talks about using “mutual recognition of conformity assessment” to allow US products into the UK, but the US is clearly not interested in negotiating on that basis.

Politico: Wizyta Donalda Trumpa w Wielkiej Brytanii

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
03 June 2019
Adam Jasser rozmawia z Agatą Gostyńską - Jakubowską, analitykiem w Centre for European Reform o kontrowersyjnych radach Donalda Trumpa. Prezydent USA sugerował Brytyjczykom, kto powinien być ich premierem i kto powinien kierować partią rządzącą. Poruszony zostaje również temat Wielkiej Brytanii stojącej w rozkroku. Duże firmy rozważają relokacje własnych siedzib do innych państw Unii Europejskiej.

The UK has much to fear from a US trade agreement

Sam Lowe
03 June 2019
The New Statesman
Any deal with Trump would likely stray into areas such as food safety and drug pricing — and the president would come back for more.

Abogados internacionales piden a La Haya que investigue a la UE por crímenes contra la humanidad por su política migratoria

Camino Mortera-Martinez
03 June 2019
El Pais
No así, en aguas territoriales libias, como recuerda Camino Mortera-Martínez, experta legal del Center for European Reform. “Lo que intenta la UE es que no lleguen a aguas internacionales porque ahí estarían obligados a la búsqueda y rescate. En las aguas libias es Libia quien tiene la responsabilidad”.

Hawk or dove: Draghi's successor has their work cut out at the ECB

Christian Odendahl
02 June 2019
The Telegraph
As Christian Odendahl, chief economist at the Centre for European Reform, puts it: “Finding the next ECB chief is part of a larger puzzle of hugely important personnel decisions that EU leaders have to make after the European Parliament elections.”

A quiet revolution sweeps Europe as Greens become a political force

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
02 June 2019
The Guardian
“Greens could be kingmakers in the decision process,” said Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform think-tank. They have already had an impact on the race to replace commission president Jean-Claude Juncker, she added, by making it clear that they will only support a candidate who backs their agenda. “What you see is that all of the hopefuls are becoming more green.” 

May's replacements set out Brexit alternatives: Brexit update

Sam Lowe
02 June 2019
Bloomerg
Sam Lowe, trade expert at the Centre For European Reform, described it on Twitter as “most coherent proposal I’ve seen so far from a leadership candidate.” He later added that this was “a relative statement.”

Trump UK visit: Will Trump offer post-Brexit trade deal during UK visit?

02 June 2019
The Express
Director of foreign policy at the Centre for European Reform, Ian Bond, has claimed there are two key reasons Trump won’t be offering the UK a post-Brexit trade deal on this trip.Mr Bond believes the UK and the US’s conflicting stances of Chinese tech firm Huawei could put a trade deal on ice.Mr Bond said: “Traditionally, the UK would use a state visit by a US president to reinforce the important bilateral defence and security ties that make the special relationship special.

Trump to be greeted by pomp and protest on UK visit

Sam Lowe
02 June 2019
The Wall Street Journal
“I don’t think we will be signing a large-scale trade agreement with the US any time soon,” said Sam Lowe, a trade expert at the Centre for European Reform, a London-based think tank. The only way that could happen in the short term is if the UK leaves the EU without a deal to smooth its exit, he added, a prospect that the government has warned could do serious damage to the economy.

Dominic Raab's dodgy details not out of place in Tory race

Sam Lowe
31 May 2019
The Irish Times
In an invaluable new paper Sam Lowe looks in detail at the kind of alternative arrangements that would be needed to keep the Border free of physical infrastructure and associated checks after Brexit.He points out that, even if efficient systems of online predeclaration of goods, trusted trader schemes and tracking technology are developed, some checks will still be necessary away from the Border. And any system would require an intensification in anti-smuggling measures near the Border, either through intelligence-led policing or electronic surveillance.

The special relationship may be awkward under Trump – but it is vital to Brexit Britain

31 May 2019
Euronews
President Donald Trump’s state visit to the UK from 3 to 5 June may show the relationship between the UK and US is more awkward than special these days.

BBC World Service: European top jobs

Camino Mortera-Martinez
29 May 2019
Camino Mortera, a senior research fellow for the Centre of European Reform spoke to the BBC World Service about the top jobs at the Commission and Council (from 10:44).

ECB contender Weidmann: A star at home facing scepticism abroad

Christian Odendahl
29 May 2019
The Financial Times
“To meet the challenges that lie ahead — a weakening eurozone economy and a potential debt crisis in Italy — the ECB will need to implement bolder monetary policy than seen to date,” said Christian Odendahl of the Centre for European Reform think-tank. “The eurozone needs someone bolder than Draghi — not a conservative like Weidmann.”

Europe's Green parties grow new support

Camino Mortera-Martinez
29 May 2019
The Wall Street Journal
“There will be a push for more environmental policies in Europe,” said Camino Mortera-Martinez, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, a think-tank. “Co-ordination with the US will depend on who is president and on how strongly candidates in the election will push for a Green New Deal.”

The toxic legacy of Theresa May, the PM who legitimised no-deal Brexit

29 May 2019
The New Statesman
British food exporters would face tariffs of 14 per cent, according to the Centre for European Reform (CER). Car imports would face a 10 per cent tariff, and supply chains would be massively disrupted. Many British products would no longer be accredited to sell across the EU. British airlines could no longer be able to fly to, or within, Europe.

Europe must prevent a German stranglehold on the ECB

Christian Odendahl
29 May 2019
The Telegraph
It’s no secret that Bundesbank boss Jens Weidmann would like to succeed Mario Draghi as president of the European Central Bank.

How the Kremlin sees the rest of the world

29 May 2019
The New Statesman
Russian analysts reckon the US will be less focused on intervening around the world and will be more nationalist, mercantilist and interest-focused.

Jeremy Hunt's no-deal Brexit flip-flopping hardly inspires confidence

Sam Lowe
28 May 2019
The Telegraph
"Ultimately, the question of whether the Withdrawal Agreement could ever be reopened is entirely political: is it in the EU's interest to do so?" the Centre for European Reform's trade guru Sam Lowe tells me. "Nothing about the proposals being put forward by some of the leadership candidates suggests it is."