Research

Shortage of 330,000 workers in the country due to Brexit: is it bad for the economy?

John Springford, Jonathan Portes
18 January 2023
Talk Finance
The immigration restrictions in the United Kingdom, which were introduced after leaving the European Union, have led to a shortage of 330,000 workers in the country. Sectors with low-skilled labour, such as retail, hospitality, transport and storage, are particularly hard hit by the end of free movement of persons between the UK and the EU, reports the London-based think-tank Centre for European Reform (CER).

UK worker shortfall due to Brexit curbs estimated at 330,000

17 January 2023
Financial Times
The post-Brexit UK economy is facing a shortfall of more than 300,000 workers as the result of ending free movement of labour with the EU, according to a new estimate by leading researchers. The joint assessment from the UK in a Changing Europe and the Centre for European Reform think-tanks said that the ending of free movement was constricting the UK economy and “contributing significantly” to labour shortages in lower-skilled sectors, including logistics, construction and hospitality.

Shortfall of 330,000 workers in UK due to Brexit, say think-tanks

John Springford, Jonathan Portes
17 January 2023
The Guardian
Brexit has led to a shortfall of 330,000 people in the UK labour force, mostly in the low-skilled economy, a report by leading researchers has found.The departure from the EU in 2020 led to an increase in immigration from non-EU countries, but not enough to compensate for the loss of workers from neighbouring countries, according to the joint findings of the thinktanks Centre for European Reform (CER) and UK in a Changing Europe.

Brexit cost 330,000 drop in UK labour force, new research finds

John Springford, Jonathan Portes
17 January 2023
EurActiv
Brexit has resulted in the loss of 330,000 workers from the UK economy, according to new research published on Tuesday (17 January). The data published by the UK in a Changing Europe and Centre for European Reform thinktanks revealed that in September 2022, there were 460,000 fewer workers of EU-origin in the UK than if the UK had remained in the bloc, only partially offset by an increase of about 130,000 non-EU workers. The net loss of workers amounts to around 1% of the labour force. 

Brexit has created shortage of 330,000 workers in UK, say economists

John Springford, Jonathan Portes
17 January 2023
The Independent
Post-Brexit immigration rules have led to a shortfall of around 330,000 workers in the UK, according to top economists.The ending of free movement is “contributing significantly” to current labour shortages, a joint report by the UK in a Changing Europe and the Centre for European Reform think-tanks has found. The study found the low-skilled sectors – including hospitality, retail, construction and transportation – had been badly hit by the loss of EU workers after Brexit.

TRT World: Why is Germany reluctant to throw its support behind Ukraine?

17 January 2023
Pressure is mounting on Germany to send Leopard tanks to Ukraine. Ian Bond, director of foreign policy at the Centre for European Reform, talks about why Berlin is hesitating to throw its support behind Kiev.

Brexit rules cost Britain 330,000 workers, economists say

John Springford, Jonathan Portes
17 January 2023
Bloomberg
Brexit immigration curbs have led to a shortfall of 330,000 workers in the UK, contributing to a tighter labor market and fueling inflation, a report showed. Low-skilled sectors including retail and hospitality have been hit hardest by the end of freedom of movement following the UK’s departure from the European Union, an analysis by the Centre for European Reform found.

Europe's warm winter is robbing Putin of a trump card

16 January 2023
CNN
“Governments could do more to incentivize and speed up the development of renewable sources of energy,” says John Springford, deputy director at the Centre for European Reform. “A big step would be giving the green light to onshore wind. It would also be wise for governments to build storage capacity for liquid natural gas (LNG), which can happen fairly quickly and directly reduces the need for Russian gas.”

London’s Brexit 2023: Sadiq Khan, Rishi Sunak and Keir Starmer on the elephant in the room

16 January 2023
London World
He [Sadiq Khan] also referred to a Centre for European Reform estimate that the cost to the Treasury in lost tax revenues due to Brexit is £40bn. “So, repairing our relationship with Europe would mean we can better support the NHS,” he said.

The fog in the English Channel is clearing a bit

16 January 2023
Reuters
Agreements on science and finance would not be that controversial within the ruling Conservative Party. But a deal on Northern Ireland could be. So if Sunak uses up some political capital on pushing that through, he may lack the appetite for doing anything else that would antagonise pro-Brexit parliamentarians, says Charles Grant of the Centre for European Reform.

A united Europe weathers crises, but deeper challenges remain

14 January 2023
The New York Times
“It’s astonishing that the Europeans have kept together so far,” said Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform. “But the worry is that given stagflation, high energy prices, migration and deficits, populists might exploit divisions and push Ukraine to make an early peace. As the war goes on, divisions in these two camps will get worse.”

LRT TV: Žinios. Naujausia „Eurobarometro“ apklausa: lietuviai – bene mažiausiai užtikrinti dėl savo ateities karo Ukrainoje akivaizdoje

12 January 2023
Anot I. Bondo, dalies šalių, pavyzdžiui, Graikijos, poziciją galima paaiškinti ekonominiais ryšiais su Rusija, kuriems trukdo sankcijos. Bet kitų valstybių gyventojų nuomonę suprasti sunku.„Baltijos šalys irgi kažkada glaudžiai bendradarbiavo su Rusija ir Baltarusija, bet tai neturi įtakos Ukrainos palaikymui. Nemanau, kad to priežastis – vien ekonominiai sumetimai“, – įsitikinęs Europos reformų centro užsienio politikos vadovas.

Taxman taken to task by MPs after failing to collect £42bn

11 January 2023
The Times
Failures at HM Revenue and Customs mean £42 billion in taxes have not been collected and people are being let down by poor customer service. What that could pay for? The annual tax shortfall caused by Brexit (Centre for European Reform).

CER podcast: The cost of Brexit

11 January 2023
In this week’s episode of the CER podcast Helmi Pillai interviews John Springford about his most recent cost of Brexit analysis.

Royaume-Uni : « Entrer enfin dans l’âge de raison du Brexit »

10 January 2023
Le Monde
Entre le deuxième trimestre 2016, date du référendum, et celui de 2022, le Royaume-Uni a connu une croissance inférieure de 5,5 % à celle d’un groupe d’une quarantaine de pays comparables qui connaissaient, les années précédentes, une croissance similaire, selon les calculs du Centre for European Reform, un groupe de réflexion. Le volume du commerce extérieur britannique a également augmenté de 7 % de moins que ce groupe. Et les investissements sont de 11 % inférieurs.

Can UK science and technology recover from Brexit?

09 January 2023
Encompass
When Boris Johnson agreed the Brexit divorce package with the EU, he promised it would unleash innovation, turning Britain into an agile “science superpower”. But rather than boost UK science and technology, Brexit has – so far – damaged it.

Big European telecom operators seek EU antitrust clearance for online advertising bid

09 January 2023
EurActiv
However, for Zach Meyers, a senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform, privacy might be a big stumbling block for the initiative. “Users probably understand tracking from online players like Google because they aren’t paying for those services directly. That is quite different to being tracked for a service users are already paying for,” Meyers said.

Britse economie doet het nauwelijks beter dan die van Poetin

05 January 2023
De Standaard
De Britse denktank Centre for European Reform berekende dat de Britse economie sinds de uitstap 5,5 procent trager gegroeid is dan als het land in de EU gebleven was. Bovendien wordt het VK ook nog eens door een zware stakingsgolf ­geteisterd.

Public opinion shifts but will Britain look to rejoin the EU?

04 January 2023
The National
John Springford, at the Centre for European Reform, who tracks the impact of Brexit on the economy, calculates that tax revenues for the year to the end of June 2022 were £40 billion lower — this as Britain is hit by a wave of public worker strikes, with the government maintaining it does not have enough cash to meet their demands.

Rishi Sunak’s maths drive does not add up

04 January 2023
The New European
The Centre for European Reform says Brexit may have reduced UK goods trade by around 7% in the second quarter of 2022.