Research

CNBC: EU already losing patience with the UK over Brexit

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
05 July 2018
"The chances of a no-deal scenario are rising," says Agata Gostynska-Jakubowska, senior research fellow at the Centre for European Reform.

UK outlines new trade plan for Brexit ahead of cabinet meeting

05 July 2018
Bloomberg
“I’m more optimistic on the UK side,” said Charles Grant of the Centre for European Reform think tank. If May “does get her act together and imposes a version of soft Brexit on her party it’s going to be harder for the EU to say ’no, no, no,’ and easier for them to say ’no, but...’”

Theresa May's 'body bag summit'

05 July 2018
Politico
But Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform think-tank, argues that Cabinet resignations might actually strengthen May’s hand in Brussels.“It’s hard to exaggerate the degree to which the antics of several ministers, including Boris Johnson, have drained away goodwill towards the UK,” he said. “If May was to lose some of her ministers … she would be perceived as someone who was finally cutting to the chase, finally taking tough decisions.”

'EU is LOSING PATIENCE!' Warning as no-deal Brexit growing ever more LIKELY by the day

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
05 July 2018
The Express
The EU is losing patience with the UK as skirmishes within Theresa May’s government continue to destabilise Brexit talks, Brussels decision-making process expert Agata Gostynska-Jakubowska has warned. The Centre for European Reform senior researcher warned the risks of a no deal Brexit "are rising" as the British Government remains divided over its plans for the future.

CER podcast: Plugging in the British to EU justice and home affairs

Sophia Besch, Camino Mortera-Martinez
04 July 2018
Sophia Besch asks Camino Mortera-Martinez whether the UK will stay plugged into EU justice and home affairs structures after Brexit.

Padol ďalší pilier. Poľskí konzervatívci ovládli Najvyšší súd

Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska
03 July 2018
SME Svet
„Komisia chcela zvýšiť tlak na Poľsko a tiež nie je úplne spokojná s tým, ako na doterajšie výhrady Poľsko reagovalo, väčšinou to boli len kozmetické ústupky,“ hovorí pre SME analytička Centra pre európsku reformu Agata Gostyńska-Jakubowska.

BBC Radio 4 - Today programme: British trade post-Brexit

Sam Lowe
03 July 2018
Sam Lowe a research fellow at the Centre for European Reform spoke to the Today programme (from 56.15 mins) about the unknown costs British companies face after Brexit. If the government gave firms Brexit advice it could be seen as acknowledgement of costs from leaving EU “but that’s not a reason not to...it’s due diligence. A responsible government would be taking this a lot more seriously” .

Parliament Live: EU policing and security co-operation

Camino Mortera-Martinez
03 July 2018
Camino Mortera-Martinez (from 15.40 mins), a research fellow at the Centre for European Reform along with Claude Moraes MEP gave evidence on EU policing and security co-operation.

The real threats to the EU

02 July 2018
Project Syndicate
The UK’s concern is understandable: evidence is mounting of the likely damage a departure from the single market and customs union will do to the UK economy. According to new research from the Centre for European Reform, the UK economy is already 2.1% smaller than it would have been had voters chosen to remain. The hit to public finances totals £440 million ($579 million) per week.

The Jersey option looks good for Brexit Britain. It isn't.

Sam Lowe
02 July 2018
Financial Times
 If the frenzied speculation is true, this week’s special UK cabinet meeting will end with Britain asking for a customs union with the EU plus accepting its regulation of goods, while rejecting single market rules on services and freedom of movement. This model is generally called the “Jersey option” [article by Sam Lowe, research fellow at the Centre for European Reform] after the British crown dependency in the English Channel, which already has such a relationship with the EU.

Aljazeera: EU reform, migration and the economy

30 June 2018
John Springford, the deputy director of the Centre for European Reform, says "bringing in more people definitely helps" EU countries economically.

EU leaders reach migration deal

29 June 2018
CBS News
Migration has "been one of the biggest crises that the European Union has faced in a decade where there have been several crises in a row," John Springford, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform, told CBS News.

BBC The Real Story: Can the EU Survive?

29 June 2018
John Springford, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform along with Claire jones, Paul Mason and Josef Janning discuss the future of the EU on the BBC's Real Story.

Fears grow over prospect of Trump 'peace deal' with Putin

28 June 2018
The Times
Ian Bond, a former British ambassador to Latvia who is now director of foreign policy at the Centre for European Reform, said: “There are a lot more ways this can go wrong than right, with Trump cancelling the autumn Nato exercises, accepting the Russian annexation of Crimea and linking trade and security.”

Hard Brexit is unravelling

28 June 2018
The Economist
Charles Grant of the Centre for European Reform, a think-tank, expects these considerations to trigger ministerial resignations this summer. Mr Johnson, who was this week ridiculed even by fellow Tories for flying to Afghanistan to avoid a vote on Heathrow airport (see article), may quit, now that his leadership hopes are going down the pan.

The UK and Europe: What's the cost of Brexit so far?

26 June 2018
E!Sharp
Any reasonable observer will acknowledge that the Brexit vote has curbed economic growth.

NATO's infatuation: Russia, Russia, Russia!

25 June 2018
Defence News
Ian Bond, director of foreign policy at the Centre for European Reform, put it this way in a piece produced by Carnegie Europe: “Russia is a threat to Europe only because Europe allows it to be. Vladimir Putin has been very adept at maximizing the effectiveness of the tools he has, keeping the West off-balance and leaving its leaders with a feeling of impotence.”

10 things you need to know in markets today

25 June 2018
Business Insider
Brexit has slashed Britain's public finances by £440 million a week, according to new research, which found the UK economy is already 2.1% weaker than it would have been if the country voted to stay in the European Union. A report from the Centre for European Reform (CER) found that — thanks to lower tax revenues — the knock-on hit of the vote to leave the EU to public finances has been £23 billion per year.

What are the economic effects of Brexit so far?

24 June 2018
Financial Times
One such model, which gives Hungary a 23 per cent weight in the calculations, is used by John Springford, deputy director of the Centre for European Reform, and suggests that output is now 2.1 per cent lower than it would have been.

Theresa May's Brexit plan: Hiding in plain sight

24 June 2018
Financial Times
The prime minister is edging towards something that looks much like a single market in industrial goods, to counter the need for regulatory checks at the Irish border — or any of Britain’s ports — after Brexit. “It is a proposal under current consideration,” says Charles Grant, director of the Centre for European Reform. He wonders whether Mr Johnson and fellow Eurosceptics might quit rather than swallow it.